Sports betting can be very profitable if you know the secrets the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make money. One of the biggest secrets that smart money gamblers use is knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a perfect example. I analyzed the West Virginia vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Virginia had the edge in the game. However, I also realized that there were a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not bet on this game. Here is my analysis I released before the game:
West Virginia vs. Louisville
This game has all the signs of being one of the best games of the year, with both teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, with West Virginia coming back from being down big in the 4th quarter to winning in overtime.
So what’s the game look like this year?
If this game were being played at a neutral field, West Virginia would probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented roll. They haven’t lost since Oct. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they lost to Virginia Tech. In the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 ROAD games.
These are some very impressive stats that tilt the scales in favor of WVU for tonight’s game. Plus, the added bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This may not seem like much, but in a close match-up like this, that extra point could make the difference between a push and a loss. In case you loved this information along with you would want to acquire more info about fortnite stats generously stop by our own site.
But what about Louisville?
Louisville’s stats are almost as good as WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
And if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at home since December 18, 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49.4 points per game at home, while averaging only giving up 15.7 points per game at home. In case you didn’t do the math, that means since their last home loss they’ve averaged beating their opponents by about 34 points per game.